Will AI replace Bakers?
AI reaches little of this job’s work.
12/100
Low exposure
More exposed to AI than 22% of US workers.
- AI already used in
- 0% of the work
- As AI tools mature: up to
- 14% of the work
What the job involves
Mix and bake ingredients to produce breads, rolls, cookies, cakes, pies, pastries, or other baked goods.
Where AI reaches the work
The job’s main tasks, heaviest first, by how far AI reaches them.
Within reach(3)
- Adapt the quantity of ingredients to match the amount of items to be baked.
- Prepare or maintain inventory or production records.
- Develop new recipes for baked goods.
Out of reach(15)
- Measure or weigh flour or other ingredients to prepare batters, doughs, fillings, or icings, using scales or graduated containers.
- Check equipment to ensure that it meets health and safety regulations, and perform maintenance or cleaning, as necessary.
- Set oven temperatures, and place items into hot ovens for baking.
- Set time and speed controls for mixing machines, blending machines, or steam kettles so that ingredients will be mixed or cooked according to instructions.
- Check products for quality, and identify damaged or expired goods.
and 10 more
Also called
Pastry Cook · Bread Baker · Dough Maker · French Pastry Cook · Pastry Baker · Pastry Decorator · Pastry Finisher · Pie Baker
Related jobs
What these numbers mean
The score is the share of this job’s work, weighted by how important and frequent each task is, that AI could do in half the time: tasks an AI model could do alone count in full, tasks that need software built on AI count half.
“AI already used” is the share of the work in tasks where people are recorded using AI today. “As AI tools mature” counts every task AI could halve, with or without extra software.
The percentile compares the score with every job’s, weighted by how many people in the US do each one. Exposure means AI could change how the work is done, not that the job goes away. These are estimates for the typical job, not predictions.
Sources
- O*NET 31.0 Database, U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration
- GPTs are GPTs: Labor market impact potential of LLMs (task labels), Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin & Rock (2023), OpenAI and University of Pennsylvania
- Anthropic Economic Index: labor market impacts (task penetration), Anthropic
- Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025 (national and metropolitan areas), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics