Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers?
AI reaches some of this job’s work, but most of it stays with people.
21/100
Moderate exposure
More exposed to AI than 37% of US workers.
- AI already used in
- 4% of the work
- As AI tools mature: up to
- 42% of the work
What the job involves
Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of production and operating workers, such as inspectors, precision workers, machine setters and operators, assemblers, fabricators, and plant and system operators. Excludes team or work leaders.
Where AI reaches the work
The job’s main tasks, heaviest first, by how far AI reaches them.
Already happening(1)
- Evaluate employee performance.
Within reach(9)
- Plan and establish work schedules, assignments, and production sequences to meet production goals.
- Read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules, and other records and reports to determine production requirements and to evaluate current production estimates and outputs.
- Confer with other supervisors to coordinate operations and activities within or between departments.
- Recommend or execute personnel actions, such as hirings, evaluations, or promotions.
- Keep records of employees' attendance and hours worked.
and 4 more
Out of reach(10)
- Enforce safety and sanitation regulations.
- Inspect materials, products, or equipment to detect defects or malfunctions.
- Confer with management or subordinates to resolve worker problems, complaints, or grievances.
- Conduct employee training in equipment operations or work and safety procedures, or assign employee training to experienced workers.
- Direct and coordinate the activities of employees engaged in the production or processing of goods, such as inspectors, machine setters, or fabricators.
and 5 more
Also called
Production Supervisor · Line Supervisor · Fabrication Supervisor · Machining Supervisor · Paper Machine Supervisor · Paper Products Supervisor · Sawmill Supervisor · Assembly Supervisor
Related jobs
- First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers29/100
- First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers20/100
- First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers14/100
- First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators31/100
- First-Line Supervisors of Helpers, Laborers, and Material Movers, Hand35/100
What these numbers mean
The score is the share of this job’s work, weighted by how important and frequent each task is, that AI could do in half the time: tasks an AI model could do alone count in full, tasks that need software built on AI count half.
“AI already used” is the share of the work in tasks where people are recorded using AI today. “As AI tools mature” counts every task AI could halve, with or without extra software.
The percentile compares the score with every job’s, weighted by how many people in the US do each one. Exposure means AI could change how the work is done, not that the job goes away. These are estimates for the typical job, not predictions.
Sources
- O*NET 31.0 Database, U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration
- GPTs are GPTs: Labor market impact potential of LLMs (task labels), Eloundou, Manning, Mishkin & Rock (2023), OpenAI and University of Pennsylvania
- Anthropic Economic Index: labor market impacts (task penetration), Anthropic
- Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025 (national and metropolitan areas), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics