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Will AI replace Umpires, Referees, and Other Sports Officials?

AI reaches little of this job’s work.

16/100

Low exposure

More exposed to AI than 29% of US workers.

AI already used in
0% of the work
As AI tools mature: up to
20% of the work

What the job involves

Officiate at competitive athletic or sporting events. Detect infractions of rules and decide penalties according to established regulations. Includes all sporting officials, referees, and competition judges.

Where AI reaches the work

The job’s main tasks, heaviest first, by how far AI reaches them.

Within reach(4)

  • Teach and explain the rules and regulations governing a specific sport.
  • Research and study players and teams to anticipate issues that might arise in future engagements.
  • Verify credentials of participants in sporting events, and make other qualifying determinations, such as starting order or handicap number.
  • Compile scores and other athletic records.

Out of reach(12)

  • Officiate at sporting events, games, or competitions, to maintain standards of play and to ensure that game rules are observed.
  • Confer with other sporting officials, coaches, players, and facility managers to provide information, coordinate activities, and discuss problems.
  • Signal participants or other officials to make them aware of infractions or to otherwise regulate play or competition.
  • Inspect game sites for compliance with regulations or safety requirements.
  • Inspect sporting equipment or examine participants to ensure compliance with event and safety regulations.

and 7 more

Also called

Referee · Umpire · Baseball Umpire · Handicapper · Paddock Judge · Pit Steward · Racing Secretary · Basketball Referee

What these numbers mean

The score is the share of this job’s work, weighted by how important and frequent each task is, that AI could do in half the time: tasks an AI model could do alone count in full, tasks that need software built on AI count half.

“AI already used” is the share of the work in tasks where people are recorded using AI today. “As AI tools mature” counts every task AI could halve, with or without extra software.

The percentile compares the score with every job’s, weighted by how many people in the US do each one. Exposure means AI could change how the work is done, not that the job goes away. These are estimates for the typical job, not predictions.

Sources

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